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Highlighted Publications


Will Artificial Intelligence Increase Productivity Across the U.S. Economy?
Filippucci, Gal, and Schief (2026) examine how much generative artificial intelligence is likely to increase productivity across the U.S. economy and whether uneven gains across industries will reduce overall growth. They combine data on AI task exposure, industry employment patterns, AI adoption rates, and U.S. input-output tables covering 65 industries. They estimate that AI could increase aggregate total factor productivity growth by about 0.87 percentage points annually o
2 hours ago
Does Adolescent Cannabis Use Increase the Risk of Psychiatric Disorders?
Young-Wolff et al. (2026) examined whether adolescent cannabis use is associated with an increased risk of developing psychotic, bipolar, depressive, and anxiety disorders by young adulthood. They analyzed data from 463,396 adolescents ages 13–17 who received routine cannabis-use screenings within Kaiser Permanente Northern California between 2016 and 2023 and followed them through age 25. They found that adolescents who reported cannabis use had substantially higher risks of
1 day ago


Can Private Insurers Deliver Medicaid More Efficiently Than the Government?
Macambira et al. (2025) examined whether privately managed Medicaid plans perform better than publicly administered fee-for-service Medicaid in controlling costs while maintaining quality and consumer satisfaction. They analyzed administrative data from nearly 100,000 Louisiana Medicaid enrollees who were randomly assigned to either private managed care or public fee-for-service coverage. They found that private managed care reduced overall healthcare spending by 5.6%, includ
2 days ago


Did the Introduction of the 988 Suicide and Crisis Lifeline Lead to Fewer Suicides Among Adolescents?
Patel, Liu, and Jena (2026) examined whether the launch of the 988 Suicide and Crisis Lifeline in July 2022 was associated with changes in suicide mortality among adolescents and young adults ages 15–34. They analyzed national mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System from 1999–2024 and compared observed suicide deaths after the launch of 988 with deaths expected based on prior trends. They found that suicide mortality was significantly lower than expected afte
3 days ago
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